Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 6.759119 7.870495 9.071150 10.460273 12.018608 13.708230 15.674037
2026-01-04 5.292809 6.780705 8.510926 10.654397 13.220143 16.173846 19.811135
2026-01-11 4.348271 6.002849 8.039075 10.694189 14.026467 18.029909 23.158922
2026-01-18 3.537407 5.225249 7.410211 10.389595 14.283418 19.132241 25.550772
2026-01-25 2.944191 4.628664 6.911959 10.152135 14.539736 20.174911 27.844611
2026-02-01 2.463532 4.111413 6.444591 9.880688 14.687122 21.034729 29.890787
2026-02-08 2.079983 3.677500 6.035440 9.631041 14.813847 21.834902 31.852110
2026-02-15 1.747799 3.273358 5.619399 9.319803 14.809078 22.426335 33.524055
2026-02-22 1.558375 3.069983 5.478901 9.389933 15.334121 23.750106 36.225925
2026-03-01 1.387944 2.874252 5.326803 9.421239 15.789728 24.979168 38.824548
2026-03-08 1.248940 2.713832 5.212661 9.495237 16.301261 26.295449 41.578885
2026-03-15 1.116772 2.547356 5.069988 9.506729 16.707490 27.462025 44.145035
2026-03-22 1.039382 2.476497 5.086561 9.782735 17.545276 29.309805 47.784944
2026-03-29 0.955504 2.381544 5.050923 9.965721 18.240078 30.964404 51.191092
2026-04-05 0.860987 2.251177 4.937489 10.003381 18.694920 32.261577 54.095402
2026-04-12 0.737417 2.039945 4.651825 9.715009 18.591032 32.681071 55.674111
2026-04-19 0.637288 1.863880 4.413963 9.490253 18.573685 33.224306 57.445593
2026-04-26 0.546825 1.694462 4.170450 9.233395 18.481046 33.634349 59.011107
2026-05-03 0.469989 1.544025 3.948552 8.997228 18.405533 34.059919 60.602319
2026-05-10 0.398351 1.392796 3.707486 8.702884 18.205595 34.265749 61.839798
2026-05-17 0.362631 1.330807 3.652708 8.769199 18.654121 35.556024 64.846865
2026-05-24 0.327936 1.265248 3.582878 8.798804 19.033680 36.738652 67.706494
2026-05-31 0.299282 1.211839 3.535053 8.868783 19.488480 38.059408 70.822203